Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 408.554197 468.670902 536.962103 620.777908 721.549473 839.654699 989.801569
2024-12-22 314.116121 388.420904 481.305270 607.818071 778.606920 1005.584131 1337.769301
2024-12-29 268.070851 347.839908 453.981419 609.088512 836.186308 1166.997361 1706.286332
2025-01-05 231.578197 311.455799 422.862325 594.748543 863.144079 1284.572560 2037.523582
2025-01-12 207.171757 287.227733 403.472228 591.530613 902.546144 1425.661033 2445.159323
2025-01-19 181.181869 256.974273 370.424596 560.758923 889.994325 1475.045191 2699.867134
2025-01-26 172.770760 251.627925 373.955818 588.278427 979.782152 1724.630964 3433.703233
2025-02-02 167.338789 249.984444 382.686431 625.295306 1093.337541 2048.456144 4464.504649
2025-02-09 156.190371 237.864386 372.504059 626.906428 1139.286269 2245.703095 5281.652062
2025-02-16 143.435832 221.795823 353.709436 609.670100 1143.641012 2352.252224 5907.842895
2025-02-23 132.876312 208.421298 338.130000 596.245403 1153.242987 2473.393398 6638.460513
2025-03-02 128.350915 204.912562 339.635350 616.379826 1239.925749 2809.024218 8246.088881
2025-03-09 121.523271 197.001741 332.687559 619.310408 1290.501039 3074.283233 9826.493509
2025-03-16 113.320480 185.984993 318.895537 606.153878 1300.684285 3233.574882 11135.336018
2025-03-23 107.672355 179.106640 312.268393 607.434202 1347.046532 3516.240964 13221.723669
2025-03-30 100.858232 169.526385 299.432467 593.141794 1350.257210 3666.735653 14838.947546
2025-04-06 95.839023 162.925115 291.899522 589.934741 1382.829155 3927.739117 17323.892030
2025-04-13 88.529562 151.465340 273.570526 559.265834 1333.259423 3887.863001 18057.930676
2025-04-20 87.355815 151.712720 279.282971 586.693479 1456.530307 4529.588051 23978.788124
2025-04-27 86.973621 153.455192 288.271630 623.585124 1618.470403 5411.471955 33457.483825
2025-05-04 83.621964 149.027701 283.600559 625.190752 1670.563639 5863.911776 40438.226879
2025-05-11 79.045154 141.826539 272.273814 608.013009 1657.575146 6019.816964 44929.237060
2025-05-18 75.089170 135.658720 262.777125 594.633660 1655.131336 6229.733295 50644.841166